Phd Scholar, Department of Economics and Management, International School, Vietnam National University, Hanoi, Vietnam
International migration from developing economies is increasingly driven by the interplay between economic incentives, social networks, and the institutional environment. The understanding of these drivers is central to policy design aimed at maximizing the benefits of labor mobility, minimizing human capital loss, and capturing positive impacts of migration. This paper examines determinants of international migration from Vietnam to the five largest recipient countries, namely, the USA, Japan, Korea, Australia, and Taiwan, for the period 2000-2025. Emphasis is placed on the role of income differentials, migrant networks, and institutions on migration flows, also investigating if the level of institutional quality reinforces the effects of economic incentives on migration flows. A longitudinal panel-data framework is utilized in this analysis to test migration flows during the span of 26 years. In empirical testing, Fixed-effects estimation, supplementary dynamic robustness analysis, and moderation analysis are employed to account for both direct and conditional relationships between variables. Descriptive analysis shows a lot of heterogeneity between migration flows, income differentials, and governance conditions across destination countries. The correlation matrix showed a strong positive relationship between migrant stock and migration flows (0.781, 0.01), which clearly supported the importance of network effects. The results show that both income differentials and migrant networks increase migration flows, and migrant networks are proven to be the strongest determinant of migration. Dynamic panel estimation tests confirmed persistent migration flow over the long period; thus, mobility choices are path-dependent. Institutional quality also promotes migration flows and reinforces the impact of income differentials on migration flows. These results indicate that people not only seek higher income but also governance with transparency, security, and protection for economic activities. Conclusively, international migration flow from Vietnam is characterized by a complex interaction of economic, social, and institutional dynamics. Accordingly, the policy making for migration should not only focus on fostering institutions and managing human capital outflow but also on making use of the potential of diasporas for positive impacts of migration on national development.
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